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中国防痨杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (11): 1515-1521.doi: 10.19982/j.issn.1000-6621.20250198

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于双重差分法的疾病诊断相关分组支付方式改革对肺结核患者住院费用影响的研究

张金萍1(), 周小平2, 丁志伟2(), 张海燕2, 董盼攀1   

  1. 1首都医科大学附属北京胸科医院物价办公室,北京 101149
    2首都医科大学附属北京胸科医院财务处,北京 101149
  • 收稿日期:2025-05-12 出版日期:2025-11-10 发布日期:2025-10-30
  • 通信作者: 丁志伟,张海燕,董盼攀 E-mail:1009973192@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    北京市卫生经济学会第一批研究课题项目

Research on the impact of DRG payment reform based on difference-in-differences method on hospitalization expenses of pulmonary tuberculosis patients

Zhang Jinping1(), Zhou Xiaoping2, Ding Zhiwei2(), Zhang Haiyan2, Dong Panpan1   

  1. 1Price Office, Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
    2Finance Office, Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 101149, China
  • Received:2025-05-12 Online:2025-11-10 Published:2025-10-30
  • Contact: Ding Zhiwei,Zhang Haiyan,Dong Panpan E-mail:1009973192@qq.com
  • Supported by:
    First Batch of Research Projects of the Beijing Health Economics Association

摘要:

目的: 全面分析疾病诊断相关分组(diagnosis related groups, DRG)支付方式对肺结核住院患者治疗费用的影响,为政策制定提供科学依据。方法: 采用回顾性研究方法,选取2017年6月15日至2024年6月14日首都医科大学附属北京胸科医院收治的以肺结核为主要诊断的20369例患者为研究对象,以2022年实施DRG时间为节点,将患者分为实施前组(11653例)和实施后组(8716例)。通过双重差分(difference-in-differences,DID)模型控制年龄、性别、住院天数等变量后分析DRG政策的净效应,并利用平行趋势检验验证模型假设。结果: DRG实施后,患者住院天数由实施前的12d下降为6d,住院总费用中位数(16588.04元)相较于DRG实施前(20411.17元)降幅达18.88%;其中,药品费降幅为60.07%[(2801.14-7015.36)/7015.36],治疗费降幅为14.77%[(804.75-944.20)/944.20],但检查费微增了1.83%[(1066.20-1047.00)/1047.00],各项指标实施前后的差异均有统计学意义(U=-51.354,P<0.001;U=-25.708,P<0.001;U=-42.403,P<0.001;U=-17.628,P<0.001;U=-3.106,P=0.002)。平行趋势检验显示存在政策效应。DID模型分析显示,政策净效应使总费用、检查费、治疗费、药品费分别下降了32.20%、52.80%、48.00%和36.80%。结论: DRG支付改革显著缩短了肺结核患者住院天数,降低了患者住院费用,尤其在药品和治疗费用方面效果突出,体现了预付制对医疗成本控制的积极作用,对减轻患者负担、提高医保基金效率方面具有潜力,为结核病防治的支付改革提供了实证支持。但需关注检查费用的结构性变化,进一步细化分组标准、优化诊断流程。

关键词: 结核,肺, 住院病人, 费用,医疗, 卫生政策, 预期支付系统

Abstract:

Objective: To comprehensively analyze the impact of the Diagnosis Related Groups (DRG) payment method on the treatment costs of inpatients with pulmonary tuberculosis, and provide scientific evidence to support policy formulation. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted including 20369 patients primarily diagnosed with pulmonary tuberculosis and admitted to Beijing Chest Hospital, Capital Medical University from June 15, 2017, to June 14, 2024. Taking the implementation of DRG in 2022 as the time cut-off, patients were divided into a pre-implementation group (n=11653) and a post-implementation group (n=8716). A difference-in-differences (DID) model was applied to control for variables such as age, gender, and length of hospital stay, so as to analyze the net effect of the DRG policy. Additionally, the parallel trend test was conducted to verify the model assumptions. Results: Following the implementation of DRG, the hospital days of the patient was decreased from 12 d to 6 d. The median total hospitalization cost of patients was 16588.04 yuan, representing an 18.88% reduction compared with the pre-implementation period (20411.17 yuan). Specifically, drug costs decreased by 60.07% ((2801.14-7015.36)/7015.36), treatment costs decreased by 14.77% ((804.75-944.20)/944.20), while examination costs increased slightly by 1.83% ((1066.20-1047.00)/1047.00). These differences before and after the implementation were statistically significant (U=-51.354, P<0.001; U=-25.708, P<0.001; U=-42.403, P<0.001; U=-17.628, P<0.001; U=-3.106, P=0.002). The parallel trend test confirmed the presence of a policy effect. The DID model further indicated that the net effect of the policy significantly reduced total costs, examination costs, treatment costs, and drug costs by 32.20%, 52.80%, 48.00%, and 36.80% respectively. Conclusion: The DRG payment reform substantially reduced the length of hospital day and hospitalization costs of patients with pulmonary tuberculosis, with particularly prominent effects on drug and treatment costs. These finding highlight the positive role of prospective payment system in controlling medical costs, alleviating patient financial burden, and improving the efficiency of medical insurance funds, thereby providing empirical evidence to support payment reforms in tuberculosis prevention and control. Nevertheless, attention should be paid to structural changes in examination costs, and further efforts are needed to refine grouping criteria and optimize diagnostic processes.

Key words: Tuberculosis, pulmonary, Inpatients, Fees, medical, Health policy, Prospective payment system

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