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中国防痨杂志 ›› 2013, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (9): 729-737.

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

《深圳市结核病防治规划(2001—2010年)》实施效能评价

管红云 杨应周 谭卫国 吴清芳 吕德良   

  1. 518020深圳市慢性病防治中心
  • 收稿日期:2013-06-30 出版日期:2013-09-10 发布日期:2013-09-08
  • 通信作者: 杨应周 E-mail:szyyz@china.com
  • 基金资助:

    “十二五”国家科技重大专项(2012ZX10004903)

Effect evaluation of Shenzhen tuberculosis control and prevention programme implementation from 2001 to 2010

GUAN Hong-yun, YANG Ying-zhou, TAN Wei-guo, WU Qing-fang, LV De-liang   

  1. Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen 518020, China
  • Received:2013-06-30 Online:2013-09-10 Published:2013-09-08
  • Contact: YANG Ying-zhou E-mail:szyyz@china.com

摘要: 目的  评价《深圳市结核病防治规划(2001—2010)年》(简称《深圳规划》)的实施情况及各项指标达标情况,为深圳市结核病防治工作的可持续发展提供科学依据。 方法  收集2001—2010年深圳市结核病控制项目报表,各区结核病防治规划终期评估资料,对深圳市结核病防治经费投入、人力资源、DOTS覆盖率、2005—2010年非结核病防治机构报告的195 201例疑似肺结核患者的转诊追踪情况、2001—2010年结核病防治机构登记的34 024例活动性肺结核患者发现、治疗和管理情况、疫情下降情况和社会经济效益进行描述性统计分析。 应用SPSS 13.0统计软件进行卡方检验,以P<0.05为差异有统计学意义。结果  (1)我市实施覆盖全区域、全人口、全部登记类型患者的现代结核病控制策略(DOTS),DOTS覆盖率达100.00%(660/660)。(2)2010年全市结核病防治专职人员达到152名,比2001年增加了70.79%(63/89),本科及以上学历达到55.26%(84/152)。(3)2005—2010年,流动人口疑似肺结核患者的总体到位率(69.21%,127 583/184 334)明显低于户籍人口(99.03%,10 762/10 867),差异有统计学意义(χ2=4420.76,P<0.01)。(4)2001—2010年,全市共发现管治活动性肺结核患者34 024例,其中涂阳肺结核患者22 008例,涂阴肺结核患者12 016例。涂阳肺结核患者治愈率达到85.36%(18 787/22 008),活动性肺结核患者成功治疗率达到89.03%(30 292/34 024)。户籍人口涂阳肺结核患者的治愈率(94.79%,4308/4545)和活动性肺结核患者成功治疗率(95.51%,7002/7331)高于流动人口涂阳肺结核患者的治愈率(82.91%,14 479/17 463)和活动性肺结核患者成功治疗率(87.25%,23 290/26 693),差异均有统计学意义(χ2=406.92、401.91,P值均<0.01)。(5)2010年户籍人口涂阳患病率为19.44/10万,比2000年下降了70.55%(46.56/66.00);流动人口涂阳患病率为59.96/10万,比2000年下降了27.23%(22.44/82.40)。(6)2001—2010年,全市总投入结核病防治经费约1.50亿元,避免了13.67万名健康人受到感染,避免了1.37万例新发肺结核患者的产生,产生的直接、间接经济效益达到202.45亿元,每投入1元结核病防治经费,可产生134.98元的社会经济效益。 结论  深圳市实施《深圳规划》取得了显著成效,但要确保“十二五”规划的顺利实施,仍然存在一些困难与挑战。

关键词: 结核, 肺/预防和控制, 卫生计划实施, 费用效益分析, 评价研究, 深圳市

Abstract: Objective To evaluate the implementation effect and the achievements of the objectives of Shenzhen tuberculosis control and prevention programme from 2001 to 2010,and to provide scientific recommendations for sustainable development of TB control. Methods The data from TB reporting system and TB Control and Prevention Programme final evaluation between 2001 to 2010 were collected, SPSS 13.0 was applied to analyze the financial investment、human resources and DOT coverage rate, referral and tracing situation of 195 201 TB suspects from 2005—2010, as well as the detection、treatment and management situation of 34 024 TB patients, and the epidemiology situation and social and economic benefits from 2001 to 2010. Results (1)Shenzhen implemented DOT strategy for the entire region,all people and all types of patients, the coverage rate reached 100.00%(660/660).(2)The number of TB control staff in 2010 were 152, which was increased by 70.79%(63/89), 55.26% (84/152) of the staff had bachelor degree or above.(3) The overall arrival rate of the suspects among floating population was significantly lower than the resident population during 2005—2010, which were 69.21% (127 583/184 334) and 99.03% (10 762/10 867) respectively (χ2=4420.76,P<0.01). (4) A total of 34 024 active pulmonary tuberculosis cases were detected from 2001 to 2010, among which 22 008 were smear positive cases and 12 016 were smear negative cases. The average cure rate of smear positive cases was 85.36% (18 787/22 008), and the average treatment success rate was 89.03% (30 292/34 024). The average cure rate and treatment success rate of the floating patients were 82.91%(14 479/17 463) and 87.25%(23 290/26 693), which was significantly lower than the resident patients (94.79%(4308/4545), 95.51%(7002/7331)) (χ2=406.92,401.91,P<0.01). (5) The prevalence rate of smear positive of resident population was 19.44 per 100 000 population, which decreased 70.55% (46.56/66.00) compared with that of 2000, and that of the floating population was 59.96 per 100 000 population, which decreased 27.23% (22.44/82.40) compared with that of 2000.(6) About 0.15 billion yuan was invested in TB control from 2001 to 2010, 136 700 healthy people were protected from TB infection and 13 700 people were prevented to be new TB cases, the direct and indirect social and economic benefits reached 20.245 billion yuan. For every 1 yuan input into the TB control, 134.98 yuan of social and economic benefits can be produced. Conclusion Shenzhen has made substantial progress to control TB, while there are still some new challenges to be faced during the implementation of the Twelfth Five-year Plan.

Key words: Tuberculosis, pulmonary/prevention &, control, Health plan implementation, Cost-benefit analysis, Evaluation studies, Shenzhen city