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中国防痨杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (7): 948-957.doi: 10.19982/j.issn.1000-6621.20250455

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于德尔菲法和层次分析法的抗结核药物临床综合评价体系构建

叶觉鲜1, 周乾坤2, 李冬兰2, 覃雄之2, 樊爱敏2, 刘爱梅1()   

  1. 1 广西壮族自治区胸科医院药物临床试验机构办公室, 柳州 545005
    2 广西壮族自治区胸科医院药学部, 柳州 545005
  • 收稿日期:2025-11-17 出版日期:2026-07-10 发布日期:2026-07-02
  • 通信作者: 刘爱梅,Email:liuaimeid@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    广西科技重大专项(桂科AA22096027);广西医疗卫生适宜技术与推广应用项目(S2023050);广西壮族自治区第二批药品临床综合评价项目(YPPJ020)

Construction of a clinical comprehensive evaluation system for anti-tuberculosis drugs based on Delphi and analytic hierarchy process

Ye Juexian1, Zhou Qiankun2, Li Donglan2, Qin Xiongzhi2, Fan Aimin2, Liu Aimei1()   

  1. 1 GCP Institutional Office, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Chest Hospital, Liuzhou 545005, China
    2 Department of Pharmacy, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region Chest Hospital, Liuzhou 545005, China
  • Received:2025-11-17 Online:2026-07-10 Published:2026-07-02
  • Contact: Liu Aimei, Email: liuaimeid@163.com
  • Supported by:
    Guangxi Major Science and Technology Project(GuiKe AA22096027);Guangxi Promotion and Application of Medical and Health Appropriate Technology Project(S2023050);The Second Batch of Drug Clinical Comprehensive Evaluation Project of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region(YPPJ020)

摘要:

目的: 构建一套涵盖安全性、有效性、经济性、创新性、适宜性与可及性的多维抗结核药物临床综合评价体系,为医疗机构合理用药、新药遴选和处方集优化提供参考。方法: 基于《中国医疗机构药品评价与遴选快速指南(第二版)》中的指标体系,采用德尔菲法进行指标的筛选与修订,建立适用于抗结核药物的评价框架;运用层次分析法确定各指标权重,形成完整、可量化的综合评价体系,并对左氧氟沙星片、盐酸莫西沙星片、利奈唑胺片、氯法齐明软胶囊、富马酸贝达喹啉片、环丝氨酸胶囊等6种耐多药结核病治疗药物开展实证评价。结果: 经过两轮对15位专家的德尔菲函询,最终确立涵盖有效性、安全性、经济性、适宜性、创新性和可及性6个维度的抗结核药物临床综合评价体系,包含一级指标6项、二级指标20项、三级指标35项。函询问卷回收率为100.0%,权威系数为0.824,最终指标体系的肯德尔协调系数(Kendall’s W)为0.266(P<0.001),表明专家意见一致性良好;整合15位专家的层次分析综合判断矩阵,通过一致性检验(CR<0.1),获得分配可靠的指标权重。实证评价结果显示,左氧氟沙星片、盐酸莫西沙星片、利奈唑胺片、氯法齐明软胶囊、富马酸贝达喹啉片、环丝氨酸胶囊等6种药物的评价分值分别为81.17、67.17、65.57、62.77、60.92、57.69分,基本符合临床实际。结论: 本研究构建的抗结核药物临床综合评价体系高度契合药品临床综合评价的目标要求,具备良好的科学性与实用性。不仅可为医疗机构合理用药、新药遴选和处方集优化提供参考,也可为区域卫生政策制定提供科学依据。

关键词: 结核, 德尔菲技术, 药物评价, 系统综合, 层次分析

Abstract:

Objective: To establish a multidimensional clinical comprehensive evaluation system for anti-tuberculosis drugs encompassing safety, effectiveness, economy, innovation, suitability, and accessibility, thereby providing a reference for rational drug use, new drug selection, and drug formulary optimization in healthcare institutions. Methods: Based on the indicator framework in the Quick Guideline for Drug Evaluation and Selection in Chinese Medical Institutions (the Second Edition), the Delphi method was employed to screen and revise indicators, and to establish an evaluation framework tailored to anti-tuberculosis drugs. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to assign the weight of each indicator, forming a complete and quantifiable comprehensive evaluation system. An empirical evaluation was conducted on 6 drugs using for the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), including levofloxacin tablets, moxifloxacin hydrochloride tablets, linezolid tablets, clofazimine soft capsules, bedaquiline fumarate tablets and cycloserine capsules. Results: After two rounds of Delphi consultation with 15 experts, a comprehensive clinical evaluation system for anti-tuberculosis drugs was finally established, covering 6 dimensions (effectiveness, safety, economy, suitability, innovation and accessibility), the system comprised 6 first-level indicators, 20 second-level indicators and 35 third-level indicators. The questionnaire response rate reached 100.0%, the authority coefficient was 0.824 and the Kendall’s W for the final indicator system was 0.266 (P<0.001), indicating a high level of consensus among experts. By integrating the AHP judgment matrices from the 15 experts and passing the consistency test (CR<0.1), reliable indicator weights were obtained. The empirical evaluation results showed that the scores of levofloxacin tablets, moxifloxacin hydrochloride tablets, linezolid tablets, clofazimine soft capsules, bedaquiline fumarate tablets, and cycloserine capsules were 81.17, 67.17, 65.57, 62.77, 60.92, and 57.69, respectively, which were consistent with clinical practice. Conclusion: The anti-tuberculosis drug clinical comprehensive evaluation system constructed in this study aligns highly with the objectives and requirements of drug clinical comprehensive evaluation and demonstrates good scientific validity and practicality. It not only serves as a valuable reference for rational drug use, new drug selection, and drug formulary optimization in medical institutions but also provides a scientific foundation for regional health policy development.

Key words: Tuberculosis, Delphi technique, Drug evaluation, Systems integration, Analytic hierarchy process

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