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中国防痨杂志 ›› 2026, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (2): 217-222.doi: 10.19982/j.issn.1000-6621.20250375

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于德尔菲法的结核病社会支持系统指标体系构建研究

朱士玉1, 宋灿磊1, 张瑞1, 郝艳星1, 朱伟涛1, 高霞2()   

  1. 1 上海市金山区疾病预防控制中心(上海市金山区卫生健康监督所)性病结核病防制科, 上海 200540
    2 上海市第六人民医院金山分院, 上海 201599
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-17 出版日期:2026-02-10 发布日期:2026-02-03
  • 通信作者: 高霞 E-mail:gx94@sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    上海市疾病预防控制局政策研究课题(2024JZ03);上海市加强公共卫生体系建设三年行动计划(2023—2025年)项目(GWVI-9)

Research on the construction of social support indicator system for tuberculosis based on Delphi method

Zhu Shiyu1, Song Canlei1, Zhang Rui1, Hao Yanxing1, Zhu Weitao1, Gao Xia2()   

  1. 1 Department of Sexually Transmitted Diseases and Tuberculosis Prevention and Control, Jinshan District Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Health and Sanitation Supervision Institute), Shanghai 200540, China
    2 Jinshan Branch of Shanghai Sixth People’s Hospital, Shanghai 201599, China
  • Received:2025-09-17 Online:2026-02-10 Published:2026-02-03
  • Contact: Gao Xia E-mail:gx94@sina.com
  • Supported by:
    Policy Research Project of Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Disease Control and Prevention(2024JZ03);Three-Year Initiative Plan (2023—2025) for Strengthening Public Health System Construction in Shanghai(GWVI-9)

摘要:

目的: 构建结核病社会支持系统指标体系,为科学开展“无结核社区”建设工作提供参考。方法: 在文献回顾的基础上,通过小组讨论初步构建结核病社会支持系统指标体系,采用德尔菲法邀请12名相关领域专家进行两轮咨询,对结核病社会支持系统指标体系各条目的重要性和可行性作出评价。结果: 两轮咨询专家积极系数为100.0%,专家权威系数均值为0.91,各级条目Kendall’s W检验差异均有统计学意义(P值均<0.001),其中两轮专家咨询指标重要性的协调系数W值分别为0.187和0.203、可行性的协调系数W值分别为0.280和0.256。最终构建的结核病社会支持系统指标体系包括机构支持、社区支持和家庭支持等3个一级指标、10个二级指标和55个三级指标,各条目重要性和可行性评分均值均>3.5、变异系数均≤0.25。结论: 利用德尔菲法初步建立的结核病社会支持系统指标体系具有一定的可靠性和科学性,能为“无结核社区”建设提供依据和帮助,需要开展进一步研究以验证和改善结果。

关键词: 结核, 肺, 社会支持, 指标体系, 德尔菲技术

Abstract:

Objective: To construct an indicator system for the tuberculosis social support system, and provide a reference for the scientific implementation of “Zero Tuberculosis Community” development. Methods: Based on a literature review, a preliminary indicator system for tuberculosis social support was constructed through group discussions. The Delphi method was adopted to invite 12 experts in related fields to conduct two rounds of consultations, aiming to evaluate the importance and feasibility of each item in the indicator system for the tuberculosis social support system. Results: The expert positive coefficient for both rounds of consultations was 100.0%, with a mean expert authority coefficient of 0.91. The Kendall’s W test for items at all levels showed statistically significant differences (Ps<0.001). The consistency coefficients (W values) for the importance of indicators in the two rounds of expert consultation were 0.187 and 0.203, respectively, while those for feasibility were 0.280 and 0.256. The final constructed indicator system for tuberculosis social support included 3 first-level indicators (institutional support, community support, and family support), 10 second-level indicators, and 55 third-level indicators. The mean scores for importance and feasibility of each item were all greater than 3.5, with coefficients of variation all less than 0.25. Conclusion: The indicator system for tuberculosis social support system initially established using the Delphi method has certain reliability and scientificity. It can provide a basis and assistance for the construction of “Zero Tuberculosis Community”. Further research is needed to verify and improve the indicator system.

Key words: Tuberculosis, pulmonary, Social support, Index system, Delphi technique

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