2014—2018年佛山市肺结核患者复发情况及影响因素分析
Analysis of recurrence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Foshan and the influencing factors from 2014 to 2018
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Received: 2022-02-9
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Objective: To investigate the recurrence rate of pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Foshan and its influencing factors,to provide scientific basis for preventing the recurrence of pulmonary tuberculosis. Methods: The medical record information of 15208 newly treated pulmonary tuberculosis patients who were reported and registered in Foshan City and whose treatment results were cured or the course of treatment was completed from January 2014 to December 2018 were collected from the “Tuberculosis Management Information System”, a subsystem of the “Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System”. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the general data, clinical information, etiological results and treatment outcome of 161 patients with recurrent pulmonary tuberculosis. Results: A total of 15208 cases were included in this study. Of them, 161 cases (1.06%) relapse within 5 years. The cumulative recurrence rates were 0.40% (61/15208) after 1 year, 0.70% (106/15208) after 2 years, and 1.05% (159/15208) after 5 years. In the Cox proportional hazards regression model, local household registration (HR=1.56, 95%CI: 1.14-2.14, P=0.005), positive sputum smear at diagnosis (HR=2.92, 95%CI: 2.10-4.06, P<0.001), positive sputum smear after 2 months of treatment (HR=3.94, 95%CI: 2.41-6.47, P<0.001), abnormal blood urea nitrogen (HR=8.76, 95%CI: 5.00-15.36, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for the recurrence of pulmonary tuberculosis. Conclusion: The management of tuberculosis patients with local household registration, positive sputum smear at diagnosis, and abnormal blood urea nitrogen should be strengthened, and the quality of standardized treatment and management should be ensured. At the same time, targeted intervention measures should be carried out for this kind of high-risk population to reduce recurrence of pulmonary tuberculosis.
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钟倩红, 马晓慧, 钟永辉, 赵之梦, 张锡林, 许邦, 罗洁莹, 钟丽萍, 戴磊.
ZHONG Qian-hong, MA Xiao-hui, ZHONG Yong-hui, ZHAO Zhi-meng, ZHANG Xi-lin, XU Bang, LUO Jie-ying, ZHONG Li-ping, DAI Lei.
结核病是全球严重的公共卫生问题,同时是全球十大主要死因之一[1]。目前各国报道的肺结核复发率也各不相同,从0.4%~13.05%不等[2⇓⇓⇓⇓⇓-8]。一项也门的研究中,其成功治疗的肺结核患者复发率为4.7%[7]。另外一项印度多中心的研究显示,1210例成功治疗的肺结核患者中,有158例患者复发,其复发率高达13.05%[8]。在肺结核低负担国家,肺结核的复发率低于高负担国家,在一项随访时间中位数为7.8年的研究中显示,肺结核的复发率为3.4%[5]。我国一项800人的研究表明,肺结核的复发率为5.45%[9]。肺结核复发伴随而来的可能是肺结核耐药的问题,耐药结核分枝杆菌的出现使得结核病防治更加困难。因此,发现肺结核复发的高危因素,并根据其高危因素制定相应的预防措施,可有效减少肺结核的复发,进而达到肺结核防治的目的。本研究对佛山市2014—2018年的15208例肺结核患者进行分析,旨在分析肺结核的复发率及其引起复发可能的影响因素,为肺结核的复发及防治提供新的思路及科学依据。
对象和方法
一、 研究对象
收集《中国疾病预防控制信息系统》子系统《结核病管理信息系统》中,2014年1月至2018年12月佛山市报告登记的肺结核患者,共18488例,最终纳入研究治愈及完成疗程的患者15208例,其中,男性患者10586例(69.6%),女性患者4622例(30.4%),并对纳入研究的15208例患者每年进行电话随访。
二、 研究方法
本研究采用回顾性队列研究方法,对《中国疾病预防控制信息系统》子系统《结核病管理信息系统》中2014年1月至2018年12月佛山市报告登记、且治疗结果为治愈或完成疗程的15208例初治肺结核患者进行调查,对纳入队列的肺结核患者的一般资料、临床信息、病原学结果及治疗转归等资料进行收集。同时对纳入队列的患者在治疗结束后的0.5年、1年、2年、3年、4年、5年等时间节点进行随访复查(主要为胸部X线检查,胸部X线异常者则进行痰涂片及培养检查),分析肺结核患者的复发情况。
三、相关定义[10]
1.复发患者:曾接受过抗结核治疗,且最近疗程结束时被宣布为“治愈”或“完成疗程”,但在研究时间内又被诊断为结核病的患者。初治肺结核患者采用标准的短程化疗方案进行治疗。
2.累积复发率:是指通过寿命表计算的累积复发概率,等于1减去患者在时间排序上未复发的概率连续乘积。
3.重症肺结核:病原学阴性且肺部影像出现空洞的肺结核患者。
四、统计学方法
使用R 4.0.5软件对数据进行整理,采用Cox比例风险模型对各变量进行单因素分析,初步发现与复发有关的影响因素,评价风险比(hazard ratio,HR)和95%CI;通过Schoenfeld残差图检验观察变量是否符合PH假定;并将符合PH假定,同时单因素分析差异有统计学意义的因素用Cox回归模型进行多因素分析,以调整后的风险比(adjusted hazard ratio,aHR)进行评价,考虑到样本量较大,认为aHR>1.5或aHR<0.7为风险比有系统性意义,以P<0.05为差异有统计学意义。
结果
一、 复发情况
本研究共纳入肺结核患者15208例,出现复发结局的患者有161例,复发率为1.06%。1年后的累积复发率为0.40%(61/15208),2年后的累积复发率为0.70%(106/15208),5年后的累积复发率为1.05%(159/15208)。
以患者纳入队列时的年龄为准,患者年龄中位数为40岁;截止到2020年12月30日,患者的最短随访时间为0.63个月,最长随访时间为80.27个月,随访月数中位数为47.23个月。复发患者的最短复发时间为0.63个月,最长复发时间为70.07个月,中位复发时间为15.77个月。纳入研究的肺结核患者以继发性肺结核为主。见表1。
表1 肺结核患者队列人口学特征及单因素Cox分析
变量 | 复发 | 未复发 | HR(95%CI)值 | P值 | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
例数 | 构成比(%) | 例数 | 构成比(%) | ||||||||||||
性别 | 0.004 | ||||||||||||||
男 | 129 | 1.2 | 10457 | 99.8 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
女 | 32 | 0.7 | 4590 | 99.3 | 0.57(0.39~0.84) | ||||||||||
年龄(岁) | 0.007 | ||||||||||||||
≤50 | 96 | 0.9 | 10405 | 99.1 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
>50 | 65 | 1.4 | 4642 | 98.6 | 1.54(1.12~2.11) | ||||||||||
少数民族 | 0.506 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 156 | 1.1 | 14443 | 98.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 5 | 0.8 | 604 | 99.2 | 0.74(0.30~1.80) | ||||||||||
本地户籍 | 0.010 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 71 | 0.9 | 8148 | 99.1 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 90 | 1.3 | 6899 | 98.7 | 1.50(1.10~2.05) | ||||||||||
患者来源 | |||||||||||||||
健康检查 | 4 | 0.4 | 914 | 99.6 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
接触者检查 | 0 | 0.0 | 82 | 100.0 | - | 0.994 | |||||||||
因症就诊 | 20 | 1.1 | 1841 | 98.9 | 2.44(0.84~7.15) | 0.103 | |||||||||
转诊 | 106 | 1.1 | 9527 | 98.9 | 2.45(0.90~6.64) | 0.079 | |||||||||
追踪 | 31 | 1.2 | 2650 | 98.8 | 2.56(0.91~7.22) | 0.076 | |||||||||
其他 | 0 | 0.0 | 33 | 100.0 | - | 0.996 | |||||||||
就诊间隔大于14d | 0.001 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 54 | 1.6 | 3311 | 98.4 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 107 | 0.9 | 11736 | 99.1 | 0.59(0.42~0.81) | ||||||||||
空洞 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 94 | 0.8 | 10972 | 99.2 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 67 | 1.6 | 4075 | 98.4 | 1.91(1.40~2.61) | ||||||||||
变量 | 复发 | 未复发 | HR(95%CI)值 | P值 | |||||||||||
例数 | 构成比(%) | 例数 | 构成比(%) | ||||||||||||
诊断时痰检结果 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
涂阴 | 67 | 0.6 | 10311 | 99.4 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
涂阳 | 94 | 2.0 | 4689 | 98.0 | 3.07(2.24~4.20) | ||||||||||
治疗2个月末痰检结果 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
涂阴 | 130 | 0.9 | 14164 | 99.1 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
涂阳 | 12 | 3.3 | 349 | 96.7 | 3.77(2.09~6.81) | ||||||||||
培养结果 | 0.005 | ||||||||||||||
培阴 | 3 | 0.2 | 1559 | 99.8 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
培阳 | 17 | 1.1 | 1486 | 98.9 | 5.92(1.73~20.2) | ||||||||||
合并其他结核 | 0.144 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 151 | 1.1 | 13515 | 98.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 10 | 0.6 | 1532 | 99.4 | 0.62(0.33~1.18) | ||||||||||
合并症 | 0.006 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 142 | 1.0 | 14025 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 19 | 1.8 | 1022 | 98.2 | 1.95(1.21~3.15) | ||||||||||
糖尿病 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 145 | 1.0 | 14410 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 16 | 2.5 | 637 | 97.5 | 2.57(1.53~4.30) | ||||||||||
患者诊断分型 | |||||||||||||||
原发性肺结核 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 100.0 | - | - | |||||||||
血行播散性肺结核 | 0 | 0.0 | 18 | 100.0 | - | - | |||||||||
继发性肺结核 | 161 | 1.1 | 15028 | 98.9 | - | - | |||||||||
重症 | 0.184 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 136 | 1.0 | 13226 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 25 | 1.4 | 1821 | 98.6 | 1.34(0.87~2.05) | ||||||||||
治疗管理方式 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
全程督导 | 98 | 1.4 | 6710 | 98.6 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
全程管理 | 0 | 0.0 | 24 | 00.0 | 0(0~inf) | 0.993 | |||||||||
强化期督导 | 60 | 0.7 | 8286 | 99.3 | 0.47(0.34~0.65) | <0.001 | |||||||||
自服药 | 3 | 10.0 | 27 | 90.0 | 6.90(2.19~21.78) | <0.001 | |||||||||
系统管理 | 0.001 | ||||||||||||||
否 | 4 | 5.3 | 71 | 94.7 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
是 | 157 | 1.0 | 14976 | 99.0 | 0.19(0.07~0.51) | ||||||||||
白细胞计数 | 0.007 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 126 | 1.0 | 12892 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 35 | 1.6 | 2155 | 98.4 | 1.67(1.15~2.43) | ||||||||||
红细胞计数 | 0.274 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 117 | 1.1 | 10264 | 98.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 44 | 0.9 | 4783 | 99.1 | 0.82(0.58~1.17) | ||||||||||
血红蛋白计数 | 0.002 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 117 | 0.9 | 12346 | 99.1 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 44 | 1.6 | 2701 | 98.4 | 1.72(1.21~2.43) | ||||||||||
变量 | 复发 | 未复发 | HR(95%CI)值 | P值 | |||||||||||
例数 | 构成比(%) | 例数 | 构成比(%) | ||||||||||||
血小板计数 | 0.406 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 148 | 1.0 | 14076 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 13 | 1.3 | 971 | 98.7 | 1.27(0.72~2.24) | ||||||||||
中性粒细胞百分比 | 0.728 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 147 | 1.1 | 13617 | 98.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 14 | 1.0 | 1430 | 99.0 | 0.91(0.52~1.57) | ||||||||||
淋巴细胞百分比 | 0.021 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 130 | 1.0 | 13077 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 31 | 1.5 | 1970 | 98.5 | 1.58(1.07~2.34) | ||||||||||
单核细胞百分比 | 0.720 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 114 | 1.0 | 10839 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 47 | 1.1 | 4208 | 98.9 | 1.06(0.76~1.49) | ||||||||||
丙氨酸氨基转移酶 | 0.332 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 143 | 1.1 | 12977 | 98.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 18 | 0.9 | 2070 | 99.1 | 0.78(048~1.28) | ||||||||||
天冬氨酸氨基转移酶 | 0.001 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 122 | 0.9 | 12784 | 99.1 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 39 | 1.7 | 2263 | 98.3 | 1.81(1.26~2.60) | ||||||||||
总胆红素 | 0.552 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 148 | 1.0 | 14014 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 13 | 1.2 | 1033 | 98.8 | 1.19(0.67~2.09) | ||||||||||
直接胆红素 | 0.043 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 136 | 1.0 | 13450 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 25 | 1.5 | 1597 | 98.5 | 1.55(1.01~2.38) | ||||||||||
间接胆红素 | 0.172 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 4 | 0.1 | 13048 | 99.9 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 2 | 0.1 | 1999 | 99.9 | 3.26(0.60~17.81) | ||||||||||
尿素氮 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 91 | 0.8 | 11427 | 99.2 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 70 | 1.9 | 3620 | 98.1 | 2.43(1.78~3.32) | ||||||||||
空腹血糖 | 0.229 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 123 | 1.0 | 12061 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 38 | 1.3 | 2986 | 98.7 | 1.25(0.87~1.80) | ||||||||||
尿酸 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 104 | 1.5 | 6885 | 98.5 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 57 | 0.7 | 8162 | 99.3 | 0.47(0.34~0.64) | ||||||||||
肌酐 | 0.614 | ||||||||||||||
正常 | 114 | 1.0 | 10904 | 99.0 | 1.00 | ||||||||||
异常 | 47 | 1.1 | 4143 | 98.9 | 1.09(0.78~1.53) |
注 正常值范围:白细胞计数:(3.5~9.5)×109/L;红细胞计数:(3.8~5.1)×109/L;血红蛋白计数:130~175g/L;血小板计数:(125~350)×109/L;中性粒细胞百分比:40%~75%;淋巴细胞百分比:20%~50%;单核细胞百分比:3%~10%;丙氨酸氨基转移酶:9~50U/L;天冬氨酸氨基转移酶:15~40U/L;总胆红素:<23.0μmol/L;直接胆红素:<8.0μmol/L;间接胆红素:3.4~13.7μmol/L;尿素氮:3.1~8.0mmol/L;空腹血糖:3.89~6.11mmol/L;尿酸:208~428μmol/L;肌酐:57~97μmol/L。Inf表示为正无穷
二、 肺结核复发的危险因素分析
1.肺结核复发的单因素分析(表1):本研究中共纳入15208例肺结核患者,其中女性的复发率显著低于男性,差异有统计学意义。高龄患者(>50岁)的复发率高于年龄低于50岁的患者,差异有统计学意义。本地户籍的肺结核患者复发率高于外地户籍。但少数民族对其复发率影响不大。发病时肺部有空洞的患者,复发率显著高于无空洞者,诊断时痰涂片阳性、治疗2个月末痰涂片阳性及培养阳性的患者复发率显著高于阴性患者,且差异均有统计学意义。对肺结核患者的治疗管理方式的不同,可以影响到肺结核患者的复发率,其中强化期督导的肺结核患者复发率显著低于全程督导,但患者自服药发生复发的风险则是全程督导的6.90倍。系统管理的肺结核患者其复发率则低于非系统管理的患者。合并糖尿病的患者复发率高于未合并者,且差异有统计学意义。此外,白细胞计数、血红蛋白计数、淋巴细胞百分比、天冬氨酸氨基转移酶、直接胆红素、血尿素氮水平异常可显著增加肺结核患者的复发风险;血尿酸异常则可显著降低肺结核患者的复发风险。
2.肺结核复发的多因素Cox回归模型分析:将单因素分析中差异有统计学意义的影响因素作为自变量,进行Cox回归模型和多因素分析,变量赋值见表2。结果显示,本地户籍(HR=1.56,95%CI:1.14~2.14,P=0.005)、诊断时痰涂片阳性(HR=2.92,95%CI:2.10~4.06,P<0.001)、治疗2个月末痰涂片阳性(HR=3.94,95%CI:2.41~6.47,P<0.001)、血红蛋白异常(HR=2.78,95%CI:1.32~5.83,P=0.007)、直接胆红素异常(HR=5.94,95%CI:3.13~11.79,P<0.001)、血尿素氮异常(HR=8.76,95%CI:5.00~15.36,P<0.001)是肺结核复发的独立危险因素;就诊间隔大于14d(HR=0.56,95%CI:0.40~0.78,P<0.001)、尿酸水平异常是肺结核复发的保护因素(HR=0.03,95%CI:0.01~0.05,P<0.001)。见表3。
表2 Cox回归模型分析变量赋值表
变量 | 赋值 |
---|---|
性别 | 男=1,女=2 |
本地户籍 | 是=1,否=2 |
就诊间隔大于14d | 是=1,否=2 |
诊断时痰检结果 | 涂阴=1,涂阳=2 |
治疗2个月末痰检结果 | 涂阴=1,涂阳=2,其他=3 |
是否合并糖尿病 | 是=1,否=2 |
血红蛋白 | 正常=1,异常=2 |
直接胆红素 | 正常=1,异常=2 |
天冬氨酸氨基转移酶 | 正常=1,异常=2 |
尿素氮 | 正常=1,异常=2 |
尿酸 | 正常=1,异常=2 |
注 正常值范围:血红蛋白计数:130~175g/L;天冬氨酸氨基转移酶:15~40U/L;直接胆红素:<8.0μmol/L;尿素氮:3.1~8.0mmol/L;尿酸:208~428μmol/L
表3 肺结核患者复发的多因素Cox分析
变量 | β值 | s | Wald χ2值 | aHR(95%CI)值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
性别(以男性为参照) | |||||
女 | -0.37 | 0.200 | 1.840 | 0.69(0.47~1.02) | 0.066 |
本地户籍(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.45 | 0.161 | 2.789 | 1.56(1.14~2.14) | 0.005 |
就诊间隔大于14天(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | -0.58 | 0.170 | 3.416 | 0.56(0.40~0.78) | <0.001 |
诊断时痰检结果(以涂阴为参照) | |||||
涂阳 | 1.07 | 0.168 | 6.379 | 2.92(2.10~4.06) | <0.001 |
治疗2个月末痰检结果(以涂阴为参照) | |||||
涂阳 | 1.37 | 0.252 | 5.439 | 3.94(2.41~6.47) | <0.001 |
其他 | 0.61 | 0.323 | 1.945 | 1.83(1.00~3.39) | 0.052 |
是否合并糖尿病(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.47 | 0.272 | 1.743 | 1.61(0.94~2.73) | 0.081 |
血红蛋白计数(以正常为参照) | |||||
异常 | 1.02 | 0.378 | 2.702 | 2.78(1.32~5.83) | 0.007 |
直接胆红素(以正常为参照) | |||||
异常 | 1.78 | 0.328 | 5.444 | 5.94(3.13~11.79) | <0.001 |
天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(以正常为参照) | |||||
异常 | 0.65 | 0.353 | 1.839 | 1.91(0.96~3.82) | 0.070 |
尿素氮(以正常为参照) | |||||
异常 | 2.17 | 0.286 | 7.579 | 8.76(5.00~15.36) | <0.001 |
尿酸(以正常为参照) | |||||
异常 | -3.66 | 0.321 | 11.390 | 0.03(0.01~0.05) | <0.001 |
注 正常值范围:血红蛋白计数:130~175g/L;天冬氨酸氨基转移酶:15~40U/L;直接胆红素:<8.0μmol/L;尿素氮:3.1~8.0mmol/L;尿酸:208~428μmol/L
讨论
在中国传染病疫情网络报告中,肺结核的发病和死亡一直居法定传染病的前几位[11],同时,肺结核的复发同样是结核病防控难点之一。本研究采用回顾性队列研究方法对佛山市肺结核患者复发情况进行探讨,结果显示,15208例肺结核患者中,有161例肺结核患者治愈或完成疗程后复发,复发率为1.06%。多因素Cox回归模型显示,男性复发率高于女性,与张屹立等[12]、戴志松等[13]研究结果一致,这可能与男女体内激素不同有关,也可能与女性患者在治疗过程中依从性更好,不良行为习惯(如吸烟、饮酒等)较少有关。本地户籍的肺结核患者复发率高于外地户籍,且差异有统计学意义,与戴志松等[13]的研究结果相一致,这可能是因为外地户籍患者流动性较大,复发后未在本地登记治疗而未被纳入统计所引起的偏倚。因此,应注意加强本地户籍及流动人口的肺结核健康管理。
本研究发现肺结核患者的自身健康状态可影响其肺结核复发的发生风险,本研究结果显示,合并糖尿病的肺结核患者复发率高于未合并者,此结果与魏建华等[14]的研究结果相一致,原因可能为很多糖尿病患者的生活习惯相对较差,同时其自身抵抗力可能会相对于健康人群低。同时,魏建华等[14]的研究结果显示,糖尿病患者血糖控制不理想者的肺结核复发率较高,营养状况差的糖尿病患者同样复发率较高,因此,在对糖尿病患者血糖控制方面,应适当放宽对饮食的控制,以保证其营养供应。此外,有研究表明,部分肺结核患者合并高血压和糖尿病等慢性非传染性疾病[15-16],而合并此类疾病的患者,可能会影响其肺结核复发。因此,我们应格外关注合并高血压、糖尿病等其他疾病的肺结核患者,对其所合并的疾病进行相应的健康管理,可减少其肺结核的复发率。
本研究发现,初次合并肺部空洞患者的复发率显著高于无空洞患者;患者诊断时痰涂片阳性患者复发率显著高于涂阴患者,此结果与Moosazadeh等[17]、地尔木拉提·吐孙等[18]的研究结果一致。由此可见,除了患者自身的健康状况会影响肺结核的复发率,患者初次患肺结核的严重程度同样会影响患者的复发率。治疗2个月末痰涂片阳性的患者肺结核复发率显著高于涂阴患者,这可能是因为此类患者的严重程度较高、病变范围更广,如不彻底根治,残存的结核分枝杆菌则成为其复发的根源,即内源性复发[19]。但因很多肺结核患者无明显症状,因此,要加强对肺结核知识的健康宣传,定期体检及出现咳嗽、咳痰超过2周等肺结核可疑症状时及时就医。早诊断、早治疗不但可以减少肺结核的传播,更可能减少此类肺结核患者的复发率。
综上所述,本地户籍、诊断时痰涂片阳性、治疗2个月末痰涂片阳性、血红蛋白异常、直接胆红素异常、血尿素氮异常是肺结核复发的独立危险因素。要针对肺结核复发的高危人群开展有效的干预措施,同时,关注肺结核患者的督导方式,加强对肺结核患者的管理,保证其规范治疗管理质量,可有利于减少肺结核的复发。
但本研究仍有一定的局限性:首先,因为权限问题,无法统计到外地复发后未在本市进行治疗的肺结核患者,因此存在一定的偏倚;其次,本研究中的一部分数据由于电话随访的局限性导致无法获得更多的信息。
利益冲突
所有作者均声明不存在利益冲突
作者贡献
钟倩红:酝酿和设计实验、起草文章、统计分析、获取研究经费、行政、技术或材料支持、指导;马晓慧:起草文章、统计分析;钟永辉、赵之梦:实施研究、采集数据;张锡林:酝酿和设计实验、行政、技术或材料支持、指导;许邦、罗洁莹、钟丽萍、戴磊:实施研究、采集数据
参考文献
Patients at high risk of tuberculosis recurrence
Recurrent tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a significant problem and is an important indicator of the effectiveness of TB control. Recurrence can occur by relapse or exogenous reinfection. Recurrence of TB is still a major problem in high-burden countries, where there is lack of resources and no special attention is being given to this issue. The rate of recurrence is highly variable and has been estimated to range from 4.9% to 47%. This variability is related to differences in regional epidemiology of recurrence and differences in the definitions used by the TB control programs. In addition to treatment failure from noncompliance, there are several key host factors that are associated with high rates of recurrence. The widely recognized host factors independent of treatment program that predispose to TB recurrence include gender differences, malnutrition; comorbidities such as diabetes, renal failure, and systemic diseases, especially immunosuppressive states such as human immunodeficiency virus; substance abuse; and environmental exposures such as silicosis. With improved understanding of the human genome, proteome, and metabolome, additional host-specific factors that predispose to recurrence are being identified. Information on temporal and geographical trends of TB cases as well as studies with whole-genome sequencing might provide further information to enable us to fully understand TB recurrence and discriminate between reactivation and new infection. The recently launched World Health Organization End TB Strategy emphasizes the importance of integrated, patient-centered TB care. Continued improvement in diagnosis, treatment approaches, and an understanding of host-specific factors are needed to fully understand the clinical epidemiological and social determinants of TB recurrence.
云南省成功治疗肺结核患者5年复发情况及影响因素研究
A study on the relapse rate of tuberculosis and related factors in Korea using nationwide tuberculosis notification data
Recurrent tuberculosis in the pre-elimination era.
Recurrent tuberculosis (TB), defined as TB that recurs after a patient has been considered cured, constitutes a challenge to TB control. In low TB burden countries, the underlying causes and consequences of recurrent TB are poorly understood. We conducted a literature review to summarise the evidence of recurrent TB in low-burden settings and to address current gaps in knowledge. We included peer-reviewed publications on studies conducted in countries with an estimated TB incidence of <100 cases per 100 000 population. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to assess study quality. The review yielded 44 manuscripts, 39 of which were reports of observational studies and 5 of clinical trials. The median percentage of TB patients experiencing an episode of recurrent TB after treatment completion was 3.4% (interquartile range [IQR] 1.6-6.0, range 0.4-16.7) in studies with a median follow-up of 7.8 years (IQR 5-12, range 2-33). The median percentage of recurrences attributable to endogenous reactivation (rather than exogenous reinfection) was 81% (IQR 73.1-85.5, range 49-100). Commonly identified risk factors for recurrence in low-burden settings included infection by the human immunodeficiency virus, low socio-economic status, foreign birth and infection with drug-resistant TB. Current understanding of recurrence in low-burden settings is limited, in part due to substantial methodological differences between studies. Further research is required to delineate the mechanisms of TB recurrence, its health and clinical impact, as well as the implications for TB elimination efforts in low-burden countries.
Recurrent tuberculosis in an urban area in China: Relapse or exogenous reinfection
Recurrence of tuberculosis among patients following treatment completion in eight provinces of Vietnam: A nested case-control study
Patients completing treatment for tuberculosis (TB) in high-prevalence settings face a risk of developing recurrent disease. This has important consequences for public health, given its association with drug resistance and a poor prognosis. Previous research has implicated individual factors such as smoking, alcohol use, HIV, poor treatment adherence, and drug resistant disease as risk factors for recurrence. However, little is known about how these factors co-act to produce recurrent disease. Furthermore, perhaps factors related to the index disease means higher burden/low resource settings may be more prone to recurrent disease that could be preventable.We conducted a case-control study nested within a cohort of consecutively enrolled adults who were being treated for smear positive pulmonary TB in 70 randomly selected district clinics in Vietnam. Cases were patients with recurrent TB, identified by follow-up from the parent cohort study. Controls were selected from the cohort by random sampling. Information on demographic, clinical and disease-related characteristics was obtained by interview. Treatment information was extracted from clinic registries. Logistic regression, with stepwise selection, was used to develop a fully adjusted model for the odds of recurrence of TB.We recruited 10,964 patients between October 2010 and July 2013. Median follow-up was 988 days. At the end of follow-up, 505 patients (4.7%) with recurrence were identified as cases and 630 other patients were randomly selected as controls. Predictors of recurrence included multidrug-resistant (MDR)-TB (adjusted odds ratio 79.6; 95% CI: 25.1-252.0), self-reported prior TB therapy (aOR=2.5; 95% CI: 1.7-3.5), and incomplete adherence (aOR=1.9; 95% CI 1.1-3.1).Index disease treatment history is a leading determinant of relapse among patients with TB in Vietnam. Further research is required to identify interventions that will reduce the risk of recurrent disease and enhance its early detection within high-risk populations.Crown Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Recurrence of tuberculosis among newly diagnosed sputum positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients treated under the Revised National Tuberculosis Control Programme, India: A multi-centric prospective study
800例肺结核患者复发情况及相关因素分析
Definitions and reporting framework for tuberculosis—2013 revision (updated December 2014).
2005—2020年全国法定传染病发病情况分析
某市2008—2017年结核患者复发因素调查研究
福建省成功治疗的肺结核患者10年复发情况及影响因素分析
2型糖尿病合并初治菌阳肺结核临床治愈后复发率及影响因素分析
Integrating TB and non-communicable diseases services: Pilot experience of screening for diabetes and hypertension in patients with Tuberculosis in Luanda, Angola
中国重点人群肺结核患病与发病调查分析
The incidence of recurrence of tuberculosis and its related factors in smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients in Iran: A retrospective cohort study
Studying the recurrence of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) is a convenient way to evaluate the effectiveness of TB control programs and identify vulnerable patients. In the present study, the rate of recurrence of TB and its predictors were determined in Iran.This study was a retrospective cohort. Eligible people were patients with smear-positive TB who were diagnosed from 2002 to 2011. The end of the follow-up time was December 2013. The number of people who entered the cohort was 1,271 subjects. In order to determine the predictors of recurrence, multivariate logistic regression was used. Analysis was done using SPSS 20.The recurrence incidence was 8.3% and in 85.9% of these patients, it occurred in the time interval of 1-5 years after successful treatment. The recurrence rate was not significantly related to gender, age group, and diabetes. But it was significantly higher in patients whose sputum smear grading before treatment was 2 + or more, patients with positive sputum smear at the end of the second month of the treatment, patients who had completed treatment, and patients who were smokers (P < 0.05).Our study showed that a considerable percentage of smear-positive pulmonary TB patients experience recurrence and that some patients are at a higher risk of recurrence.
2011—2020年新疆喀什地区初治肺结核患者复发影响因素分析
454例不规则治疗肺结核患者复发的相关因素分析
健康体检人群不同尿酸水平及发生高尿酸血症的相关因素研究
某市交通警察高尿酸血症患病情况及相关危险因素分析
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