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Chinese Journal of Antituberculosis ›› 2011, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (11): 707-712.

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Analysis on re-read result of chest X-ray and diagnosis quality of initial smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis

MA Yan, CHENG Shi-ming, ZHOU Lin, LI Liang, DU Jian,YANG Hua-lin, LIU Zhi-min, LIU Fei-ying, YAO Song   

  1. Beijing Tuberculosis and Thoracic Tumor Research Institute, Beijing 101149,China
  • Online:2011-11-10 Published:2012-01-20
  • Contact: CHENG Shi-ming E-mail:smcheng@chinatb.org

Abstract: Objective  To analyze the diagnosis quality and related factors of initial smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis(SN-PTB) registered in county dispensaries under National Tuberculosis Control Programme (NTP) in China. Methods   Four provinces were selected according to the registration level of national initial SN-PTB registered in 2006, one prefecture and two counties were selected in each province. The X-ray films and relevant clinical data of 60 cases of SN-PTB were sampled through cluster sampling method in each county. Their chests X-ray were photographed by digital camera, which were blindly re-read by national expert individuals and national group of experts. National experts included two experts in TB prevention and control, two in clinical TB and two in radiological TB respectively; National group of experts consisted of two TB prevention and control experts, two clinical and two radiological experts. The over-diagnosis was defined as re-read results by experts or group of experts who considered the chest X-ray did not meet the radiological changes of active TB. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were made to analyze the factors affecting the over-diagnosis, and explore the quality of  SN-PTB diagnosis. Results  The overall over-diagnosis rate is 20.78%(399/1920), the average over-diagnosis rate of eight counties ranged from 10.83%(26/240)to 32.50%(78/240), after the re-reading by experts, the over-diagnosis rate ranged from 10.21%(49/480)to 33.13%(159/480). Logistic regression analysis showed over-diagnosis was affected by seven factors including chest X-ray quality, gender, age, doctor, PPD examination, BCG vaccination history and source of patient. Risk factors for over-diagnosis included 40≤age≤60(OR=2.007,95%CI=1.165-3.535)and over 60 years old(OR=1.710,95%CI=1.277-2.940), female(OR=1.941,95%CI=1.226-3.102), clinic doctor(OR=2.243,95%CI=1.793-4.27), PPD examination history(OR=1.985,95%CI=1.106-3.564), BCG vaccination history(OR=2.773,95%CI=1.023-7.515), quality of chest film“C”(OR=2.402,95%CI=1.006-6.995)and quality of chest film “D”(OR=10.694,95%CI=2.348-62.596);protective factors included diagnosis of diagnostic group(OR=0.471,95%CI=0.440-0.643),referral(OR=0.521,95%CI=0.313-0.865)and centralized recommendation(OR=0.437,95%CI=0.206-0.927).Conclusion  The over-diagnosis rate of smear ne-gative pulmonary tuberculosis is high in China, the occurrence of over-diagnosis is affected by a variety of factors.

Key words: Tuberculosis,pulmonary/radiography, Radiography,thoracic, Quality cintrol